Home » December, 2011 Entries posted on “December, 2011”

Today in Tech: Why 2012 will be huge for Internet IPOs

Fortune’s curated selection of tech stories from the last 24 hours. Sign up to get the round-up delivered to you each and every day.

Yelp, led by co-founder and CEO Jeremy Stoppelman, is poised to go public next year.

* With both Facebook and Yelp poised to go public next year, the tech industry may raise $11 billion next year, making 2012 the biggest year for U.S. Internet IPOs since 1999 — a year before the dot-com bubble burst. (Bloomberg)

* Should Research in Motion co-CEOs Jim Balsillie and Mike Lazaridis have been fired months, if not years, ago? (paidContent)

* A rare peek at Microsoft’s Edison Lab, where the company is toiling away on technologies for a futuristic “magic wall,” which “can teleport you to another world without really going anywhere.” One tech innovation includes an LED light that recognizes human movements. (The Verge)

* Groupon reportedly acquired Campfire Labs, a service in the social networking space co-founded by ex-Googler Sakina Arsiwala and Naveen Koorakula. (TechCrunch)

* Online holiday shopping amounted to nearly $35 billion this year, a 15% increase over last year. (comScore)

* Everyone’s familiar with the dangers of drinking while driving, but what about drinking while online shopping? (The New York Times)

* How tech shaped health and fitness this year. (The Next Web)

* Why Berlin could be Europe’s newest tech hub. (GigaOm)

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Filed under: Today in Tech

December 29 2011 | Posted in Tech Blog | Read More »

2011 New Era Pinstripe Bowl rings the NYSE Opening Bell

December 29 2011 | Posted in NYSE | Read More »

29 December 2011 New Dutch hotline for animal rescue: 144

December 29 2011 | Posted in NYSE | Read More »

A look back at 2011: Taxes, bailouts, and American idiots

Some stories are worth revisiting, again and again.

FORTUNE — Different people have different year-end traditions. Mine include distributing my wife’s delightful Chanukah cookies to my colleagues, and leaving singing messages to the tunes of “Jingle Bells” or “Auld Lang Syne” on my office voice mail. On the professional front, I re-read what I’ve written during the year, a sometimes painful exercise, own up to mistakes I haven’t already corrected, and follow up on things I’ve previously written.

My journalistic specialty is dealing with chaos and complexity, which were in plentiful supply in 2011. In normal years, my columns are my major year-end subject. This year, though, it’s three longer pieces that deal with complex and chaotic topics.

The first, published in July, discussed how the federal bailout of the financial system is actually turning a profit for taxpayers, rather than costing vast amounts of money as almost everyone, including me, assumed. My colleague Doris Burke and I researched this topic to death, because we couldn’t believe what we had found, and kept looking for bailout costs that I’d missed.

This article (Surprise! The big bad bailout is paying off) drew a strong and largely negative reaction, I think largely because it upset so many preconceptions that the government is always incompetent. Besides, in a culture that’s gone from speaking to shrieking, bad news is more welcome than good news.

The one valid point critics made was that if you adjust for the risk taxpayers incurred, the $40 billion profit that I estimated the bailout would yield isn’t all that much. I had made that point in early versions of the article, but my editors—correctly—said it was one element too many in an already-complex piece.  I wish I’d worked harder to find a way to simplify and include it.

To my surprise and amusement, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, whose policies I’ve criticized for harming prudent savers in order to bail out imprudent lenders and borrowers, cited my piece in a public hearing to rebut Rep. Ron Paul’s claim that the bailout cost taxpayers tons of money. Does being cited by Bernanke mean I’ve gone from gadfly to Establishment? Stop the presses!

The second piece, which I wrote in August, was the polar opposite of the long-in-the-making bailout piece. I wrote this one in a rage over a weekend at a rented vacation house because I was furious about how fanatics, financial illiterates, incompetents, and cowards in Washington were screwing up our country. My bosses called it “American Idiots,” and, to my surprise, put it on Fortune’s cover. Unlike the bailout piece, which I had to be reminded several times that Fortune really wanted, “American Idiots” was totally my idea. I volunteered to write it—on my own time! From the beach!—because I was so angry at what I’d seen happening in Washington.

“Idiots” played prominently in both Fortune and the Washington Post, drew thousands of e-mails and comments, the biggest response I’ve gotten for anything I’ve written recently, or maybe ever. It clearly touched a nerve.

Unfortunately, the piece contained a mistake. My bailout piece stressed that TARP  was only about 3% of the bailout, which I put at about $14 trillion, and that conflating TARP with the bailout was a mistake. (Given some recent Bloomberg stories, my $14 trillion may be too low). So what did I do in “American Idiots”? I conflated TARP with the bailout. Dumb, dumb, dumb. The downside of writing when I’m angry, angry, angry.

To complete my 2011 trifecta, a third long piece, which I co-wrote with Jeff Gerth of ProPublica, landed me in a public dispute with the New York Times about the income tax General Electric (GE) incurred on its $5.1 billion of U.S. profits in 2010 (The truth about GE’s tax bill). I’ve tried to move past that navel-gazing journalist-on-journalist dispute, which I’m tired of discussing, by proposing a solution to the underlying problem: that companies don’t have to disclose their U.S. income tax for a given year. I’ve asked the Financial Accounting Standards Board to solve this problem by requiring companies to disclose key numbers from their federal tax returns (Hey corporate America: Show us your tax returns). This has gotten some resonance—but FASB probably won’t do anything unless big-time legislators or corporate chief executives demand it. Alas, that seems unlikely. Meanwhile, we’ll continue debating corporate tax policy without having reliable numbers.

In September, I wrote a column using the term “ObamaCare” (The health care system of the future looks grim). When some readers complained, I dismissively told them that it didn’t strike me as a derogatory term. I now realize that it was. I dislike large parts of the plan for reasons we may  discuss some other time. But I shouldn’t have called it ObamaCare.

The column I’m proudest of was a tribute to the late Boston banker, Arthur F.F. Snyder (A fond farewell to a bigtime banking hero). I finally got to give Art his due, almost 40 years after meeting him when our careers overlapped briefly in Detroit. He exemplified the good side of banking by making loans that helped establish companies that ultimately employed lots of people and  made investors rich. It’s important to remind people that bankers like Art, a wonderful and helpful and irreverent guy, existed, and are still out there. Warren Hellman of Hellman & Friedman, who died in December, was a San Francisco member of the good-banker club. May their tribe increase.

Okay, that will do it. Have a happy, healthy, peaceful, and prosperous new year. We’ll reconvene in 2012.

Filed under: Term Sheet

December 29 2011 | Posted in Finance Blog | Read More »

Pre-Marketing: Yahoo suitors set stage

* Alexis Madrigal: There is no next Facebook

* Clubhouse insider: Stevie Cohen is bidding on the Dodgers

* Yahoo takeover update: Alibaba and Softbank hire a lobbyist

* Morning Call: U.S. futures point higher, London rises earlyEuropean shares flat after Italian debt auction and the Nikkei falls.

* John Hempton: Sears liquidation sale

* Ucilia Wang: 10 solar trends to watch in 2012

* Pre-IPO: What the SEC asked Groupon

* Maid in Manhattan II: Get ready for DSK, the movie

* It’s about time: A social network for robots

* Get Term Sheet: Sign up for our daily email on deals & deal-makers

* Google recruiter Mike Junge: The biggest mistake job applicants make

* Stealthy: Groupon buys Silicon Valley startup that hasn’t even launched

* Video of the Day: Occupy Princeton disrupts J.P. Morgan recruiting session

* Tweet of the Day: @JeffreyMatthews: Always Ready to Shut Barn Door After Horse Gone Dept: S&P puts Sears on Watch for downgrade

Filed under: Term Sheet, Venture Capital Deals

December 29 2011 | Posted in Finance Blog | Read More »

Steve Jobs’ disruptive best-of-television service, revisited

As rumors of a “real” Apple TV heat up, ideas that could upend the industry resurface

Photo: Michael Copeland

In late 2009, the Wall Street Journal ran a story that sent shivers through the television industry.

Quoting unnamed sources familiar with Apple’s (AAPL) negotiations, the Journal reported that CBS (CBS) and ABC (DIS) were seriously considering Steve Jobs’ plan to offer TV subscriptions over the Internet.

One form those subscriptions might take, according to these sources, was a $30-per-month package of advertising-free shows from a bundle of top cable and broadcast networks — something Apple was calling the “best of television.”

Although the Journal reported that Apple was hoping to launch the service in 2010, it met fierce resistance, particularly from cable companies that reap tens of billions each year in advertising dollars and in the fees subscribers pay for access to channels they don’t want in order to watch the handful of shows they do.

“You don’t want to shoot a hole in the bucket to create another revenue stream,” one media executive told the Journal at the time.

Apple’s TV subscription service did not launch in 2010, obviously. Or in 2011, for that matter.

But the idea has not gone away. In a note to clients issued Wednesday, Sterne Agee’s Shaw Wu noted that what’s missing from Apple’s current TV offering — Apple TV coupled with the content available for purchase on iTunes — is access to live broadcast television.

One way to get that access, he writes, is to have users subscribe to satellite or cable TV services, the way they do now.

But another way — in his words “a more revolutionary, disruptive and differentiated way” — would be to offer the content via the Internet, in a subscription service that sounds a lot like Jobs’ original “best of television” idea.

“We continue to hear,” Wu writes, “what AAPL would love to do is offer users the ability to choose their own customized programming, i.e., whichever channels/shows they want for a monthly subscription fee. This is obviously much more complicated from a licensing standpoint. And in our view, would change the game for television and give AAPL a big leg-up against the competition.”

Filed under: Apple 2.0

December 29 2011 | Posted in Tech Blog | Read More »

Apple vs. Android: Who won the X-mas bake-off? (update)

If you count the iPad and iPod touch, it looks like iOS by about 1.6 million units

Estimates based on Flurry Analytics and Google tweets

Without a press release from Apple (AAPL) crowing about their Christmas sales, we’re forced to rely on data from a mobile analytics firm and tweets from a Google (GOOG) senior vice president to make some rough guesses.

Here’s what we know:

  • According to Flurry Analytics – which claims it can detect “roughly 100%” of all new smartphone and tablet activations by monitoring its clients’ 140,000 apps — a total of 6.8 million iOS and Android devices got activated around the world on Christmas Day, a 353% increase from Christmas 2010.
  • According to Google’s Andy Rubin, who likes to release data material to his company on Twitter, a total of 3.7 million Android devices were activated on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. (Via TechCrunch.)
  • A week earlier, Rubin had tweeted that daily activations of Android devices now exceed 700,000. UPDATE: In the past, Christmas Eve activations have been about 50% higher than normal.
  • If we assume (based on our update) that at least 1.1 million Android devices were activated on Christmas Eve, the number activated on Christmas Day could not exceed 2.6 million.
  • If we can trust Flurry’s and Rubin’s numbers, that suggests at least 4.2 million iOS devices were activated on Dec. 25.
  • Given that Android phones outsold iPhones by 2:1 worldwide in the second quarter of 2011 and more than 3:1 in the third quarter, it’s likely that if Apple did beat Android in the Christmas bake-off by more than a million and a half units, sales of the iPad and iPod touch probably accounted for the difference.

But this is just guesswork, and it doesn’t take into account sales of Amazon’s (AMZN) Kindle Fire, which wouldn’t show up in Google’s accounting of Android activations. We’ll get hard numbers in January when Apple reports its earnings for its first fiscal quarter of 2012, which ends Saturday.

Filed under: Apple 2.0

December 29 2011 | Posted in Tech Blog | Read More »

Market Recap S&P 500 Erases 2011 Gains, Euro at 11-Month Low

December 29 2011 | Posted in Stock Charts | Read More »

Multi-Year Bottom Bear ETF Oversold ETF Trading Update

December 29 2011 | Posted in Stock Charts | Read More »

Gold Market Short Technical Analysis 2012 Preview (GLD) Breaks Multi-Month Lows

December 29 2011 | Posted in Stock Charts | Read More »